PMI数据推动今日欧洲交易
2024年12月04日,05:36 AM
在今天的交易中,美元相对较为混合,整体变化不大。亚洲市场上,澳元表现突出,在第三季度GDP报告不尽如人意后出现了下滑。AUD/USD一度跌至自8月以来的最低点,随后在0.6433-50的关键支撑区间稳住了脚步。
关于澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)的利率预期,首个25个基点的降息现预定在明年4月而非5月。但这对12月和2月的即期政策决定并没有太大影响。
在隔夜交易中,韩国发生了一些动荡,因“跛脚总统”尹锡悦宣布实施戒严。这一决定引发了市场的波动,但随着事态迅速平息,市场最终恢复了平静。
随着这些事件落幕,焦点再次转向本周的美国数据。美元整体依然处于比较犹豫的状态,市场在等待进一步的线索。今天的关键数据包括美国ADP就业变化和ISM服务业PMI。
至于欧洲交易,整体预计将较为平稳。虽然我们可能会看到窄幅区间的进一步延续,但短期内的波动仍将保持谨慎。交易员们都在等待本周五的非农就业报告。
今天将发布PMI数据,这些数据是11月份的最终数据显示,预计对接下来的交易会话影响有限。具体时间安排如下:
- 08:15 GMT – 西班牙11月服务业综合PMI
- 08:45 GMT – 意大利11月服务业综合PMI
- 08:50 GMT – 法国11月最终服务业综合PMI
- 08:55 GMT – 德国11月最终服务业综合PMI
- 09:00 GMT – 欧元区11月最终服务业综合PMI
- 09:30 GMT – 英国11月最终服务业综合PMI
- 10:00 GMT – 欧元区10月PPI报告
- 12:00 GMT – 美国29日当周MBA抵押贷款申请数据
以上就是今天会话的全部内容。祝大家今后交易顺利,保持安全!
As we navigate through December 4, 2024, markets reflect a mixed performance for the US dollar, showcasing light fluctuations against various currencies. A standout performer today has been the Australian dollar (AUD), which has experienced noticeable pressure following the release of a less-than-ideal Q3 GDP report. Consequently, the AUD/USD pair dipped briefly to its lowest level since August before stabilizing within the critical support range of 0.6433-0.6450.
The anticipated moves from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) are also coming into sharper focus, with market expectations now leaning towards a 25 basis point rate cut projected for April next year, instead of May. Nevertheless, this adjustment in outlook does not influence any immediate policy changes scheduled for December and February.
In the overnight session, geopolitical developments emerged from South Korea, where President Yoon’s declaration of martial law created significant volatility across global markets. Fortunately, the situation has since calmed, allowing traders to refocus on economic indicators.
As the dust settles, attention pivots back to the US economic landscape. Investors are eagerly awaiting upcoming data releases that may offer new insights into the dollar’s trajectory. Key items on the agenda include the US ADP employment change report and the ISM services PMI.
European trading is expected to unfold at a slower pace today, potentially leading to continued narrow trading ranges as stakeholders adopt a more cautious approach. The market is largely in a waiting pattern ahead of the crucial non-farm payrolls report scheduled for Friday.
Throughout today’s trading session, we will also see several Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) reports being released. While these final readings for November won’t likely yield significant impact on the market, they will provide a comprehensive overview of economic activity within the Eurozone:
- 08:15 GMT – Spain November services, composite PMI
- 08:45 GMT – Italy November services, composite PMI
- 08:50 GMT – France November final services, composite PMI
- 08:55 GMT – Germany November final services, composite PMI
- 09:00 GMT – Eurozone November final services, composite PMI
- 09:30 GMT – UK November final services, composite PMI
- 10:00 GMT – Eurozone October PPI figures
- 12:00 GMT – US MBA mortgage applications w.e. 29 November
As we move forward through today’s session, we wish you all a productive trading day ahead. Stay safe, and best of luck with your trading endeavors.
This summary is based on insights from Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.
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