Italy's Services PMI Decline: An Overview of November 2024 Data - HUBFX 外贸英欧美加本地收款账户 | 满足36个币种的收款需求

意大利11月服务业PMI：49.2，低于预期的51.2

2024年12月4日上午08:45

根据最新发布的数据，意大利在2024年11月的服务业采购经理人指数（PMI）为49.2，远低于预期的51.2，以及前值52.4。这一数据表明，意大利服务行业活动再次出现了轻微的下降，而综合PMI则降至47.7，较之前的51.0表现更加疲弱。

服务行业的最新调查显示，尽管活动下降幅度不大，但这已经是该行业在2024年的首次明显回落。新业务的需求也出现了两年来最快的下降趋势。尽管企业在员工数量上略有增加，但针对未来的商业预期依然不佳。

汉堡商业银行的初级经济学家乔纳斯·费尔德胡森对此评论道：“意大利将在第四季度以疲弱的增长结束年末。11月的综合PMI数据显示，意大利经济已进入萎缩区间，制造业和服务业均交出令人失望的成绩单。受美国选举后不确定性和潜在贸易战的影响，意大利经济正变得更加谨慎，消费和投资的意愿减弱。”

在制造业表现不佳的背景下，11月服务业也未能独善其身，这是预期之中的情形。目前的需求依然疲弱，各家公司在国际市场上尤其难以获取新业务，已是连续第四个月出现下滑。

不过，11月的数据也带来了一些温和的好消息。在经历了10月的轻微下滑后，服务业公司开始对扩展员工队伍做出小幅调整。然而，随着未完成业务量的持续减少和新订单的锐减，未来几个月就业形势可能会面临更大压力。如果需要增加员工，服务提供商可能会更倾向于依赖临时合同，以便在不确定的环境中保持灵活。

尽管私人部门经济面临挑战，但企业对未来的增长仍然保持谨慎乐观，尽管信心有所减弱。在一些公司的反馈中，客户数量的增加和良好的增长预期是推动正面展望的重要因素。然而，未来展望指数的下降已且低于长期平均水平，这对未来的经济增长无疑是一种警示。

这篇文章由Giuseppe Dellamotta撰写，您可以在 www.forexlive.com 上找到更多信息。

来源于HUBFX | 全球账户 | FX风险管理。
On December 4, 2024, new data revealed a concerning trend in Italy’s service sector, as the Services PMI registered at 49.2, falling short of the anticipated 51.2 and down from the previous month’s reading of 52.4. Additionally, the Composite PMI fell to 47.7, marking a noticeable decline from the prior figure of 51.0.

These results indicate that the service sector is experiencing a fresh decline in activity, albeit marginal in nature. Alarmingly, there has been the fastest decline in new business in over two years. While payroll numbers have seen a slight uptick, overall business expectations remain subdued.

Jonas Feldhusen, Junior Economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, commented on the final PMI data, stating, “Italy is set to end the year with weak growth in the fourth quarter. The Italian Composite HCOB PMI fell into contraction territory in November, with disappointing figures in both manufacturing and services.” The lack of clarity following the US election, coupled with the looming threat of a potential trade war, has led to increased uncertainty, impacting consumption and investment behaviors within the Italian economy.

The November data highlights a concerning trend: the poor performance in the manufacturing sector has now extended its shadow over the service industry, leading to the first observed downturn in activity for 2024. Companies are struggling to secure new business, particularly from international markets, with four consecutive months of setbacks.

On a more positive note, some service sector firms have initiated modest efforts to expand their workforces following a minor downturn in October. However, with a continued decline in outstanding business and a marked drop in new orders, employment levels could face pressures in the months ahead. To navigate this uncertain landscape, service providers may increasingly rely on temporary contracts to maintain flexibility.

Despite these challenges, a cautious optimism for growth still lingers among companies, although overall confidence has waned. Instances of new client acquisitions and encouraging growth forecasts have contributed to this positive sentiment. Nevertheless, it’s important to note that the future outlook index has fallen below its long-term average, indicating a need for caution moving forward.

This analysis was composed by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com. For a deeper dive into these findings and their implications for Italy’s economic landscape, refer to the original post here. For more insights on financial risk management, continue to follow HUBFX | Global Accounts | FX Risk Management.

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