AUDUSD下行趋势测试关键支撑,接下来会如何?

截至2024年12月4日凌晨02:42,AUDUSD汇率正在持续下行,并正测试一个重要的支撑区域,位于0.6433至0.64419之间。过去15个交易日中,价格在这一区域内已经出现了5次低点,买方在每次回调中均表现出买入意愿。

显然,如果价格突破这一支撑水平,将会开启进一步下探的空间,目标将指向2024年的低点0.6347,以及2023年8月和4月的低点。值得注意的是,2023年11月10日的低点为0.6337。

当前的价格摆动区域显得尤为关键。买方是否能够在第五次尝试中维持支撑,使汇率反弹,抑或卖方将突破这一水平,开启下行探测,目标锁定2024年的低点,将会是市场关注的焦点。

在本视频中,我还分析了NZDUSD。目前其也在测试0.5859的摆动区域。如果突破该水平,卖方将有机会进一步下探,11月的低点为0.5814和0.5797,这将是下行的下一个关键目标。

不出意外,AUDUSD和NZDUSD是今日波动最大的一对货币。AUDUSD目前下跌0.85%,而NZDUSD则进一步延续下跌,现已下行0.60%。澳大利亚的GDP数据发布低于预期,成为下跌的催化剂。同时,中国的服务业PMI亦不及预期,进一步加剧了市场的疲软氛围。

本文章由Greg Michalowski撰写,欲了解更多信息,请访问www.forexlive.com。


该文章首次发布于HUBFX | 全球账户 | 外汇风险管理。
December 04, 2024 at 02:42AM
The AUDUSD is currently experiencing a downward trend, approaching a crucial support floor situated between 0.6433 and 0.64419. This price level has proven to be significant, as evidenced by the fact that it has successfully halted declines on five occasions within the past 15 trading days, attracting buyers on each dip.

A break below this support level could signal further downside movement, with the next targets being the 2024 lows at 0.6347, alongside the lows of 0.6363 from August and April. Additionally, a historical low dating back to November 10, 2023, is positioned at 0.6337, further emphasizing the importance of monitoring this price action closely.

The pivotal question now revolves around whether buyers will manage to sustain their position for the fifth time, potentially driving the pair higher, or if sellers will gain the upper hand and initiate a test of the anticipated downside targets.

In parallel analysis, the NZDUSD is scrutinizing its own swing area, trending down towards 0.5859. Should this level succumb to selling pressure, it would pave the way for a significant downward movement, with the November lows set at 0.5814 and 0.5797 as critical downside targets.

Today sees both AUDUSD and NZDUSD among the most active currency pairs, with AUDUSD down by 0.85% and NZDUSD also extending its losses by 0.60%. The initial catalyst for this downturn can be attributed to disappointing Australian GDP figures, which have ignited bearish sentiment. Additionally, weaker-than-expected PMI services data from China has compounded the overall market weakness.

This analysis underscores the importance of technical levels in forex trading, as traders navigate the complexities of market dynamics amidst significant economic data releases.


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